College football odds, picks for Week 14 in Big 12: Iowa State can make history Saturday vs. West Virginia

First impressions are important, but they aren’t permanent. As Iowa State sits on the verge of clinching a berth in the Big 12 Championship Game, I think back to its season-opening loss to Louisiana as a good example. I wasn’t surprised that the Cyclones lost that game, but my big takeaway was that they weren’t good enough to really make noise in the Big 12 Championship Game race, let alone win it all. 

Boy, was I wrong. 

Let me explain. My rationale was that while the 31-14 score was misleading — the Ragin’ Cajuns had two special teams touchdowns and one explosive 78-yard score — an otherwise evenly-played game was still a problem for Iowa State. Should the Cyclones really be going blow-for-blow with a Sun Belt opponent if they’re going to be one of the two best teams in the Big 12? 

As it turns out, though, Louisiana is pretty damn good, too, and headed towards a Sun Belt title game rematch with Coastal Carolina. The Cyclones were also missing top tight end Charlie Kolar that day. And it was the first game of 2020. Who knows with these teams sometimes?

That’s not to say that the Louisiana loss doesn’t matter now, but not when it comes to the Big 12 race. Iowa State has capitalized on a rare window by beating Oklahoma early in the year when the Sooners were more vulnerable and then inching past Texas over Thanksgiving weekend on a short week. Running back Breece Hall’s “five-star culture vs. five-star players” money quote has become the unofficial M.O. of the Cyclones’ 2020 season. Coach Matt Campbell has almost always had his team ready to play big games, but this is the first time the Cyclones have topped the Sooners and Longhorns in the same year. 

Iowa State has clinched at least a share of the Big 12 regular-season title, but hasn’t won a conference championship since 1912. To be clear, there’s still some work to be done before it can break that streak. But the Cyclones, ranked No. 9 in the latest College Football Playoff poll, are in good position to do that. It starts with the final regular-season game against West Virginia. Speaking of which …  

Picks

West Virginia at No. 9 Iowa State

Latest Odds:

Cyclones
-6.5

I’m not particularly worried that the Cyclones will look toward the end zone before catching the ball, if you catch my drift. This is a good defensive battle and the score should reflect that. If taking the under on the 49.5 point total is your thing, I don’t think it’s a bad play. The key for me is that while West Virginia’s offense has been better, it’s mostly been better at home against so-so competition. Conversely, it hasn’t traveled well and the Mountaineers would need to prove otherwise for me to ride with them. Pick: Iowa State -6.5

No. 15 Oklahoma State at TCU 

You smell that? We have a stinky line in Fort Worth,

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College football picks, odds for Big Ten in Week 14: Ohio State rolls, Wisconsin bounces back against Indiana

The Big Ten has had a theme of games getting canceled this season due to the COVID-19 pandemic. That will be the case once again this week with Maryland at Michigan and Northwestern at Minnesota off due to the virus and protocols.

After being forced to cancel last week’s game due to COVID-19, Ohio State returns to the field to show that it belongs in the conversation for the College Football Playoff. The Buckeyes were ranked No. 4 in the most recent College Football Playoff Rankings behind the likes of Alabama, Notre Dame and Clemson. Ohio State just has Michigan State and Michigan to cap off the season and in actuality, Michigan State could be their final opponent of the season given Michigan’s recent COVID-19 outbreak. 

The most intriguing game on the Big Ten slate is Indiana taking on Wisconsin in the only battle of ranked teams. However, a game that looked really interesting on paper took a hit last week when Hoosiers star quarterback Michael Penix Jr. suffered a torn ACL against Maryland. Now sophomore Jack Tuttle, who has very limited experience, will take over the reins and have an uphill battle against a very tough Wisconsin team on the road. 

Let’s take a closer look at this week’s conference slate with the latest edition of Big Ten picks.

No. 4 Ohio State at Michigan State

Latest Odds:

Buckeyes
-24

Ohio State returns to the gridiron after having last week’s game canceled as a result of COVID-19. The Buckeyes will be looking to make a statement with just two more games remaining on their schedule. However, this matchup against Michigan State could be just what the doctor ordered for Ohio State. The Buckeyes possess the top scoring offense in the Big Ten while the Spartans rank dead last with just 18 points per contest. While a three-touchdown line is hefty, I have zero doubt that Justin Fields and company will put a ton of points on the board. Pick: Ohio State (-23.5)

Latest Odds:

Boilermakers
-1

Nebraska has been one of the most disappointing teams in the Big Ten this season. Despite only having one win entering last week’s game against Iowa, the Cornhuskers took the Hawkeyes to the limit and even led in the second half. Quarterback Adrian Martinez was nearly flawless as he threw just two incompletions and made plays with his legs. This game has the potential to be another close one for a Nebraska team that has lost three of their past four games by eight points or less. However, I think the Cornhuskers do just enough to steal one on the road. Pick: Nebraska (+2.5)

Polar opposites will be doing battle when Penn State takes on Rutgers. The Nittany Lions had lofty expectations entering the 2020 season and didn’t earn their first win until just this past week against Michigan. On the other hand, Rutgers has been the laughingstock of the Big Ten for several seasons, but coach Greg Schiano has really turned the

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Eastern Illinois vs. Chicago State odds: 2020 college basketball picks, Dec. 3 predictions from proven model

The Eastern Illinois Panthers will take on the Chicago State Cougars at 3 p.m. ET Thursday at Lantz Arena. EIU is 0-3 and is playing its first home game, while Chicago State is 0-3 and 0-1 on the road. Chicago State was 4-25 last season and winless in the WAC. Eastern Illinois went 17-15 overall with a 9-9 mark in the OVC. 

The Panthers are favored by 24 points in the latest Eastern Illinois vs. Chicago State odds from William Hill Sportsbook. The over-under for total points expected is set at 134. Before entering any Chicago State vs. Eastern Illinois picks, you’ll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $2,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. It’s also off to a fast start in the 2020-21 season, going 4-1 on its top-rated picks and returning over $300. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Eastern Illinois vs. Chicago State. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds for Chicago State vs. Eastern Illinois:

  • Eastern Illinois vs. Chicago State spread: Eastern Illinois -24
  • Eastern Illinois vs. Chicago State over-under: 134 points
  • Eastern Illinois vs. Chicago State money line: Eastern Illinois -10000, Chicago State 2000

Latest Odds:

Panthers
-26

What you need to know about Eastern Illinois

The Panthers fell 66-63 to the Dayton Flyers on Tuesday. One thing holding EIU back was the play of guard Josiah Wallace, who struggled from the floor. He played for 29 minutes but put up just six points on 3-for-14 shooting.

Though EIU is winless, it has played a tough schedule and has been able to cover in two out of three matchups. The Panthers easily stayed within the 14.5-point spread against Dayton and the 20.5-point spread against Wisconsin in a 77-67 loss. 

What you need to know about Chicago State

Chicago State, meanwhile, has struggled to be competitive thus far. The Cougars are 0-3 against the spread and are coming off a 74-44 loss to North Carolina A&T. 

They’ll need to improve on both ends of the court, and it will start with more accurate shooting. The Cougars are hitting just 31.2 percent of their shots from the field and only 19.7 percent from 3-point range. Jordan Polynice (10.7 ppg) is the only player scoring more than 7.0 ppg.

How to make Eastern Illinois vs. Chicago State picks

The model has simulated Eastern Illinois vs. Chicago State 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning under on the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 70 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Eastern Illinois vs. Chicago State? And which side of the

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NC State vs. UMass Lowell odds, line: 2020 college basketball picks, Dec 3. predictions from proven model

The UMass Lowell River Hawks will take on the NC State Wolfpack at 4:30 p.m. ET on Thursday at Mohegan Sun Arena. The River Hawks are 1-2 while NC State is 2-0. The programs have never played before but both are exceeding the expectations of oddsmakers early in the 2020-21 college basketball season.

The River Hawks have covered in two of three games so far and NC State has covered comfortably as sizable favorites in each of its first two games. The Wolfpack are favored by 17 points in the latest NC State vs. UMass Lowell odds from William Hill Sportsbook and the over-under is set at 152. Before entering any UMass Lowell vs. NC State picks, you’ll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of almost $2,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. It’s also off to a fast start in the 2020-21 season, going 4-1 on its top-rated picks and returning over $300. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on NC State vs. UMass Lowell. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds for UMass Lowell vs. NC State:

  • NC State vs. UMass Lowell spread: NC State -17
  • NC State vs. UMass Lowell over-under: 152 points
  • NC State vs. UMass Lowell money line: NC State -2400, UMass Lowell +1100

What you need to know about NC State

NC State played well at home against the North Florida Ospreys last Friday as the team secured an 86-51 win. NC State got double-digit scoring from four players: F Jericole Hellems (17), G Cam Hayes (13), F D.J. Funderburk (11), and F Manny Bates (10).

Funderburk averaged 12.8 points and 6.1 rebounds per game a season ago. He and Bates will be a particularly difficult matchup for the River Hawks. UMass Lowell doesn’t have anybody on the roster who measures taller than 6-foot-8 and Funderburk is 6-foot-10, while Bates is 6-foot-11. 

What you need to know about UMass Lowell

Meanwhile, UMass Lowell came up short against the Ohio State Buckeyes on Sunday, falling 74-64. Guard Obadiah Noel had a tough game, finishing with 15 points on 5-for-21 shooting and turning the ball over four times in his 40 minutes on the court. However, Noel has still averaged 24.0 points, 6.7 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game and poured in 35 on just 19 shot attempts in a hard-fought loss to Illinois State last week.

How to make NC State vs. UMass Lowell picks

The model has simulated NC State vs. UMass Lowell 10,000 times and the results are in. It model is leaning over on the total and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 70 percent of simulations. You can only

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The Six Pack: Alabama-LSU, Wisconsin-Indiana among the best Week 14 college football picks

My sense of timing has been thrown entirely out of whack by this season. Did you know it’s December now? It is. I’ve been having difficulty understanding this, because even though Thanksgiving was last week and I understand where it falls on the calendar, I base my understanding of time on the sports calendar more than holidays. And the college football calendar is off.

Yes, last week was Thanksgiving but it wasn’t Thanksgiving. It wasn’t Thanksgiving because it wasn’t a weekend full of rivalry games that end the regular season. Sure, a couple of them were played, but not all. Plus, we don’t have any conference championship games this weekend.

Conference championship games are how I know it’s December! But they aren’t for another couple of weeks because we still have regular-season games to play. So, I don’t care what the calendar says; in my mind, we’re still in mid-November.

So here are my picks for this coming weekend, which is definitely mid-November, not December. Got it?

Games of the Week

No. 1 Alabama at LSU

Latest Odds:

Crimson Tide
-29.5

If you’ve been reading this column over the last few years or just following my picks on the “Cover 3 Podcast,” you know how I feel about taking big favorites. I try to avoid it at all costs. Well, I’m not avoiding it here. I suppose, if I wanted to, I could go into an in-depth explanation for this pick, sharing a bunch of stats that 75% of you have never heard of nor care about to help convince you of the pick. But I don’t think they’re necessary. The only thing I need to say about this pick is that Alabama is the best team in the country, and LSU stinks.

We’ve seen an exodus in Baton Rouge over the last week as top players decided they’ve had enough of the 2020 season and prepare for their NFL futures. I do not blame them a bit. The Tigers have little left to play for in this game, and even if they did, I don’t know where the points will come from. Alabama is back in Death Machine Mode, and it’s going to destroy LSU on Saturday night. Alabama 49, LSU 17 | The Pick: Alabama -29.5

No. 12 Indiana at No. 16 Wisconsin

Poor Indiana. The Hoosiers are having the most remarkable football season they’ve had in a long time, and they were able to bounce back from a close loss to Ohio State with an impressive win over Maryland last week. The problem is they lost their starting quarterback Michael Penix Jr. to a torn ACL in that game. Now we’ll find out how vital Penix was to the Hoosiers, and my instinct tells me that he’s been pretty important. I’m not sure how much faith to put into the Indiana offense against a tough Wisconsin defense.

Of course, on the other side of that coin is a Wisconsin offense that has not looked nearly as

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USA TODAY Sports college football staff picks for Week 14

On a weekend that was supposed to be the final one of the college football season, the schedule looks more like one you would see in September. There’s some quality games, but nothing that would appear to have much influence on the top teams. 

Clemson passes Ohio State in Amway Coaches Poll

UP NEXT

UP NEXT

The biggest test for the College Football Playoff contenders sees No. 6 Texas A&M travel to Auburn. The Aggies need an impressive win to bolster their case with  the committee, but they struggled last week to put away LSU. The Tigers have the ability to making things difficult, especially if quarterback Bo Nix can put together four consistent quarters.



a group of football players playing a football game: Auburn wide receiver Seth Williams (18) is tackled by Texas A&M defensive back Demani Richardson during their 2019 game at Kyle Field.


© John Glaser, USA TODAY Sports
Auburn wide receiver Seth Williams (18) is tackled by Texas A&M defensive back Demani Richardson during their 2019 game at Kyle Field.

There’s a big game in the Big Ten with No. 11 Indiana still in contention to represent the East in the conference championship game. The Hoosiers, however, will face a challenge at No. 19 Wisconsin after losing quarterback Michael Penix Jr., the conference’s leader in passing yards, to a season-ending knee injury.

From NFL plays to college sports scores, all the top sports news you need to know every day.

WHAT TO WATCH: Five biggest questions for Week 14 in college football 

QB RANKINGS: Clemson’s Lawrence makes major move after return

ANALYSIS: Winners and losers from the College Football Playoff rankings

In the Group of Five, there’s a rare non-conference showdown of unbeatens that sees No. 8 Brigham Young travel to No. 14 Coastal Carolina. The game was put together on short notice after Liberty had to drop out of playing the Chanticleers due to COVID-19 issues. A win would provide a huge boost to the Cougars in their bid to play in the New Year’s Six. Costal Carolina has similar aspirations, but it would likely be as the Sun Belt champion if Cincinnati were to lose. A win Saturday would significantly help its case.





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UCLA vs. ASU picks, predictions for Pac-12 college football game

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The UCLA Bruins (2-2) and ASU Sun Devils (0-1) are scheduled to face off on Saturday in a Pac-12 Conference game in Tempe.

Which team will win the game?

Check out these picks and predictions for the contest, which is scheduled to kick off at 8:30 p.m. and can be seen on FS1.

ASU is a 3-point favorite in the game.

MORE: Colorado vs. Arizona picks, predictions: Who wins Pac-12 college football game?

ESPN: ASU favored to win over UCLA

The site’s Football Performance Index gives Arizona State a 52.6% chance to win the game. UCLA has a 47.4% chance to get the victory.

Andrew Jett writes: “UCLA is 5-1-2 ATS in the last eight after an ATS win and 3-1-2 ATS in the last six after a straight-up win. The Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last five in December and 2-5 ATS versus a team with a losing record. Meanwhile, the Devils are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 after a straight-up loss and 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight home games. Arizona State is 1-5 ATS in their last six after an ATS win and 1-5 ATS in the last six in December. I’m going to stick with UCLA here. This one’s tough though, as we have almost zero sample size to base anything off of when it comes to the Sun Devils. That said, the Bruins have posted some nice scoring totals this year, with at least 27 in each of their first four games. The rushing attack was working well in the Arizona game, so UCLA will likely try that strategy again here. If the Bruins can get a rhythm down on offense I like them to get into a cover.”

MORE: Three months late, ASU finally set to host home football game

It writes: “UCLA is 1-2 this season and they face an Arizona State that has not played since Nov. 7 due to COVID issues. Apparently, Herm Edwards and company are ready to go on Saturday night against a Bruins team that has their own (injury) issues. Last season, UCLA was victorious over ASU 42-23 at home. UCLA should be the favorite here, though maybe they are an underdog due to the status of Thompson-Robinson. I think he’ll play, but even if he doesn’t, the Bruins can survive with Chase Griffin, who has 324 passing yards. They also have Felton, who was sensational last week against Arizona. It’s hard to believe that ASU will be sharp after missing three games and playing just one. Take the points.

Athlon Sports: 2 of 3 experts pick ASU over UCLA

Arizona State Sun Devils head coach Herm Edwards (left) and UCLA Bruins head coach Chip Kelly are scheduled to face off on Saturday in Tempe. (Photo: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports)

It writes: “UCLA is coming off a 27-10 victory over Arizona. The Bruins

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Colorado vs. Arizona picks, predictions Pac-12 college football game

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The Colorado Buffaloes (3-0) and Arizona Wildcats (0-3) are scheduled to face off on Saturday in a Pac-12 Conference game in Tucson.

Which team will win the game?

Check out these picks and predictions for the contest, which is scheduled to kick off at 5 p.m. and can be seen on FS1.

Colorado is a 7-point favorite in the game.

MORE: UCLA vs. ASU picks, predictions: Who wins Pac-12 college football game?

ESPN: Colorado favored to beat Arizona

The site’s Football Performance Index gives the Buffaloes a 54.6% chance to win the game and the Wildcats a 45.4% chance to get the victory.

Sports Chat Place: Go with the Buffaloes over the Wildcats

Chris Ruffolo writes: “Colorado is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Arizona is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Colorado is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. A home dog is usually worth at least a look, but the issue is that the Arizona Wildcats just can’t seem to figure it out. When the offense plays well, the defense doesn’t stop anything and when the defense plays remotely well like it kind of did against UCLA, the offense puts up just 10 points. On the other hand, Colorado is just clicking right now, with the offense doing its part if a shootout happens, or the defense stepping up like it did against San Diego State. Only being asked to lay 4 points on the road is too good to pass up, so I’ll lay the points with the Buffaloes in this spot.”

It writes: “Colorado is 3-0 straight up against the spread through its first three games of this season. The Buffaloes have covered the number in six of their last seven and in four the last five against an opponent from the Pac-12 Conference. Arizona struggled to end last season and has had the same results this season as the Wildcats have failed to cover the number in eight of the last 10 and have lost each of the last 10 SU.”

Kevin Sumlin and his Arizona Wildcats football team could really use a victory Saturday in their scheduled game against Colorado. Will they get it? (Photo: The Associated Press)

Scott Reichel writes: “These two teams have looked very different all season long so I have to side with the much better team in this spot. Colorado is still undefeated as it has won each of its first three games while Arizona has lost each of its first three games so there is a serious talent disparity present within this matchup. Plus, Arizona has been extremely inconsistent offensively as

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Heisman Watch, upset picks, predictions and more

Week 14 of the college football season is here — the next-to-last weekend of the regular season.   

The finish line is in sight in a season that continues to be impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. This week’s schedule features two matchups between teams ranked in the AP Top 25.  

MORE: Week 14 picks against the spread for every top 25 game

No. 10 Indiana faces No. 18 Wisconsin in a battle of one-loss Big Ten teams. No. 14 Coastal Carolina faces No. 8 BYU in a battle of unbeatens. That is the best game of the week. SEC rivalries between No. 1 Alabama and LSU and No. 6 Florida and Tennessee will only make headlines if there’s an upset.   

Every week, Sporting News surveys the landscape looking for Heisman contenders, coaches on the spot, upset alerts and other trends. With that in mind, get ready for Week 14.   

Heisman watch  

LSU’s Joe Burrow used last year’s stage against Alabama in the No. 1 vs. No. 2 showdown to clinch the Heisman Trophy.  

A Crimson Tide player could return the favor this year knowing that they are 30.5-point favorites in the rematch, but the only question is which one?  

Mac Jones is second in the FBS with a 208.0 passer rating, and that’s the best mark among Power 5 quarterbacks. Najee Harris leads the FBS with 17 rushing touchdowns, and DeVonta Smith leads all Power 5 receivers with 12 TDs.  

The LSU game is where Derrick Henry — Alabama’s last Heisman winner — upstaged Leonard Fournette with 210 yards and three TDs. This is a chance for one of those three players to grab the spotlight.  

There’s a good chance that all three finish in the top 10 in the final voting.  

Coach on the spot   

Tennessee entered the season with momentum. The Vols had a top 10 recruiting class in 2020, and Jeremy Pruitt appeared to have the program in the right direction.   

Now, Tennesse is 2-5 and up against another rival in Florida. Pruitt is 15-17 the past three years, and an 0-8 record against Georgia, Alabama and Florida has not changed. It’s not just the losses. It’s the average margin of victory against those rivals.   

TEAM AVG MARGIN
Alabama 30
Florida 27
Georgia 26

Florida beat Tennessee 34-3 last season. If Saturday’s matchup is somehow worse, that could be big trouble for Pruitt. South Carolina and Vanderbilt have already fired their coaches. Would Tennessee be next in line?   

Upset alert   

A total of 13 unbeaten teams are left in the FBS. Here is a closer look at that list:  

UNBEATEN TEAMS AFTER WEEK 13
No. 1 Alabama (8-0)
No. 2 Notre Dame (9-0)
No. 3 Ohio State (4-0)
No. 7 Cincinnati (8-0)
No. 8 BYU (9-0)
No. 14 Coastal Carolina (9-0)
No. 15 Marshall (7-0)
No. 17 USC (3-0)
No. 23 Washington (3-0)
Colorado (3-0)
San Jose State (4-0)
Buffalo (4-0)
Western Michigan (4-0)

Which conference has the most unbeaten teams? The Pac-12, of

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College Football Odds Week 14: Picks Against the Spread for Updated Top 25 Games | Bleacher Report

Ken Ruinard/Associated Press

Friday, Dec. 4

No. 25 Louisiana-Lafayette at Appalachian State (-2.5), 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

                  

Saturday, Dec. 5

No. 4 Ohio State (-24) at Michigan State, noon ET, ABC

No. 5 Texas A&M (-7) at Auburn, noon ET, ESPN

No. 15 Oklahoma State (-2.5) at TCU, noon ET, ESPN2

Western Carolina at No. 17 North Carolina (-49.5), noon ET, ACC Network

Rice at No. 21 Marshall (-23.5), noon ET, ESPN+

Liberty at No. 18 Coastal Carolina (-10.5), 2 p.m. ET, ESPNU

Syracuse at No. 2 Notre Dame (-33.5), 2:30 p.m. ET, NBC

No. 6 Florida (-17.5) at Tennessee, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS

West Virginia at No. 9 Iowa State (-6.5), 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

No. 12 Indiana at No. 16 Wisconsin (-14.5), 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC

No. 19 Iowa (-14) at Illinois, 3:30 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

No. 24 Tulsa (-12.5) at Navy, 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2

Vanderbilt at No. 8 Georgia (-35.5), 4 p.m. ET, SEC Network

Stanford at No. 22 Washington (-11.5), 4 p.m. ET, Fox

No. 23 Oregon (-9.5) at California, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN

No. 3 Clemson (-22.5) at Virginia Tech, 7:30 p.m. ET, ABC

No. 1 Alabama (-29.5) at LSU, 8 p.m. ET, CBS

No. 10 Miami (-14.5) at Duke, 8 p.m. ET, ACC Network

Baylor at No. 11 Oklahoma (-22.5), 8 p.m. ET, Fox

                  

Sunday, Dec. 6

Washington State at No. 20 USC (-14.5), 7:30 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

Picks in bold against the spread. Odds via DraftKings.

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